I follow the sage advice of a wonderful teacher from

16 agosto, 2016


Being a small place, San Marino seems to be close to herd immunity, with 42 deaths so far (at the rate of 1238 deaths per million the highest in the world). If we assume that herd immunity requires 50% of its population to get infected (implicitly 10 15% innate immunity), this yields an IFR of 0.25% for San Marino. I believe this rules out IFR estimates that are lower than this..

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